Oregon St
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 62.9360Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 15-34 906 H Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 27-36 913 A Texas Tech B12 (12- 2, 96.3) 14-45 920 A Oregon B10 (13- 2, 95.6) 7-41 926 H Houston B12 (10- 3, 80.5) 24-27 1004 A App St SUN ( 5- 8, 66.4) 23-27 1011 H Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 14-39 1018 H Lafayette 45-13 1101 H Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 10- 7 1108 H SHouston St CUSA ( 2-10, 58.8) 17-21 1115 A Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 14-31 1129 A Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 8-32
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H California 15-34 -19 -6 --- -7.56
906 H Fresno St 27-36 -9 -6 - -2.76
913 A Texas Tech 14-45 -31 -39 0.00
920 A Oregon 7-41 -34 -38 0.00
926 H Houston 24-27 -3 -12 +++ 9.26
1004 A App St 23-27 -4 -9 ++ 4.75
1011 H Wake Forest 14-39 -25 -11 - -3.02
1101 H Wash St 10- 7 3 -14 +++ 16.82
1108 H SHouston St 17-21 -4 9 --- -13.41
1115 A Tulsa 14-31 -17 -10 -- -4.06
1129 A Wash St 8-32 -24 -24 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 H California 15-34 -19 -6 --- -7.56 1108 H SHouston St 17-21 -4 9 --- -13.41 1115 A Tulsa 14-31 -17 -10 -- -4.06 906 H Fresno St 27-36 -9 -6 - -2.76 1011 H Wake Forest 14-39 -25 -11 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 926 H Houston 24-27 -3 -12 +++ 9.26 1101 H Wash St 10- 7 3 -14 +++ 16.82 1004 A App St 23-27 -4 -9 ++ 4.75 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 15-34 -25.27 25.95 -5.26 1.16 -17.69
3 H Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 27-36 -25.47 25.75 -5.26 1.16 -17.81
3 A Texas Tech (12- 2, 96.3) 14-45 -3.57 47.65 5.26 1.16 -0.98
3 A Oregon (13- 2, 95.6) 7-41 -4.28 46.94 5.26 1.16 -0.57
3 H Houston (10- 3, 80.5) 24-27 -19.45 31.77 -5.26 1.16 -14.32
3 A App St ( 5- 8, 66.4) 23-27 -33.48 17.74 5.26 1.16 -16.35
3 H Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 14-39 -20.73 30.49 -5.26 1.16 -15.06
3 H Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 10- 7 -17.88 33.34 -5.26 1.16 65.09
3 H SHouston St ( 2-10, 58.8) 17-21 -41.12 10.10 -5.26 1.16 -26.88
3 A Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 14-31 -32.29 18.93 5.26 1.16 -15.66
3 A Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 8-32 -17.88 33.34 5.26 1.16 -7.32
------
-67.55
|
winning pts = 65.0862 losing points = -132.6322
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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